• Iran, the Straits of Hormuz, and the Graveyard of Navies

    It’s been a few days since we last looked at the Persian Gulf crisis, and events are racing forward at such a pace that the only sensible approach is to take a step back and examine the deeper patterns. Behind the headlines about Trump’s impulsive decision-making lies a far more consequential story: the moment when a medium-sized power with cheap drones and missiles can hold the world’s energy supplies hostage, and the world’s sole superpower finds itself with no good options. I begin with the decision-making in Washington—or rather, the absence of it. Trump, advised by Netanyahu and a handful…

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  • Are We Already in World War III?

    Description: In this episode, Nick explores a question currently weighing on the minds of historians and observers alike: are we witnessing the opening stages of a third global conflict? Drawing on the work of Richard Overy and examining the “quasi-peace” of the 20th century, Nick argues that our definitions of “World War” may be too narrow, often ignoring the unrelenting conflict experienced by the Global South since 1945. We delve into the “hollowing out” of the American economic imperium—a transition from the industrial powerhouse of the Eisenhower era to a financialized economy struggling with internal stagnation. Nick compares the relative…

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  • Trump’s self created gulf trap

    In this episode of the Explaining History Podcast, we continue our examination of the unfolding crisis in the Persian Gulf—a crisis that has now reached a point where the world may already be past the threshold of avoiding a major economic recession, perhaps even a depression. The situation is grim. Trump, through a combination of staggering incompetence and hubris, has launched America into a conflict it cannot win. The proposed invasion of Kharg Island—Iran’s largest refinery—would not bring the Iranians to the negotiating table. It would do what Operation Rolling Thunder and the bombing of North Korea failed to do:…

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  • The Birth of the Multipolar Order and the “Evisceration” of the West

    Host: Nick Episode Overview In this somber and reflective episode, Nick steps away from traditional historical narratives to analyze what he believes is a pivotal, “apocalyptic” turning point in the 21st century. Drawing on the concept of “Westlessness,” Nick argues that current tensions in the Persian Gulf and the shifting political landscape in the United States signal the definitive end of Western hegemony and the violent birth of a truly multipolar world. Key Themes and Discussion Points The Concept of “Westlessness”: Nick revisits the ideas of Dr. Samir Puri, discussing the relative rebalancing of world power. He suggests that we…

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  • Petitions, protests and the Mandate System 1919-21

    It’s all too easy, when reading history, to see the world through the eyes of the coloniser rather than the colonised. The mandate system—the League of Nations framework through which Britain and France claimed legitimacy for their post-war territorial grabs—is often presented as a progressive innovation: a move from old-fashioned colonialism to enlightened trusteeship. But what did it look like from the perspective of those who suddenly found themselves under new rulers? Drawing on Susan Pedersen’s extraordinary book *The Guardians*, we explore how the mandate system was intended to serve multiple, often contradictory purposes. For the victorious imperial powers, it…

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  • The End of NATO?

    What happens if NATO collapses—or if the United States simply walks away? In this episode, we speculate on a future that feels closer than ever. With the Trump administration openly hostile to the alliance and European allies refusing to be dragged into an illegal war in the Persian Gulf, the post-WW2 transatlantic bargain is coming undone. We go back to the beginning: why NATO was founded to keep the Russians out, the Germans down, and the Americans in. From Ernest Bevin’s Britain to the Truman Doctrine and the birth of Atlanticism, we trace how the alliance shaped the Cold War…

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  • Capitalism without Democracy

    In this solo episode of the Explaining History Podcast, we step back from the daily news cycle to examine a question that has shaped the modern world: what is the relationship between capitalism and democracy? For decades, we have been told that economic freedom and political freedom are two sides of the same coin—that the ability of capital to move freely, to invest, to accrue profits, is the mirror of the rights and liberties that citizens enjoy. This is one of the secular articles of faith upon which the Western world runs. But is it true? I argue that it…

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  • China’s Transformation 1978-84

    In the 21st century, China stands as a global economic powerhouse, a trajectory heavily influenced by the reforms initiated in 1978 under Deng Xiaoping. This episode delves into Deng’s pivotal role, positioning him as the consequential figure bridging Mao Zedong’s era and the present-day leadership of Xi Jinping. Drawing on David Harvey’s “A Brief History of Neoliberalism,” we explore the economic, social, and ideological transformations that began with Deng’s rise to power. At the outset of his reforms, China’s economy was almost entirely state-controlled, marked by the “Iron Rice Bowl” system of employment and welfare, and a lagging agrarian sector…

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  • The New World Order and Its Unravelling – From Bush Snr to Trump

    On 29th January 1991, President George H.W. Bush addressed a joint session of Congress. America was at war with Iraq, having launched Operation Desert Storm to expel Saddam Hussein’s forces from Kuwait. Bush’s tone was sombre, measured—a contrast to the triumphalism of his State of the Union a year earlier, when he had spoken of communism crumbling and a new era for the world. Now he spoke of something grander: a “new world order.” “What is at stake is more than one small country. It’s a big idea: a new world order where diverse nations are drawn together in common…

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  • The Gulf Crisis – Two Theories of American Decline

    There are roughly two camps. One argues that there is an overarching grand plan behind America’s actions in Venezuela, Iran, Greenland, and against Russia’s shadow fleet – a coherent strategy to choke off China’s industries and make Europe energy-dependent on the United States. The other, more plausible camp sees imperial decline and the chaos that decline inevitably brings. I explore both. John Mearsheimer argues that America has suffered a catastrophic defeat. The evidence is stark: Iran has published a ten-point plan that includes the removal of American bases from the Gulf, continued uranium enrichment, and reparations – and Trump accepted…

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